Bharti Airtel Limited Q3 FY2025 Earnings Call Analysis
1. Summary of Quarterly Results
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Consolidated Revenues: ₹45,130 Crores.
- India Revenue (excluding Indus): ₹33,000 Crores, up 4.8% sequentially.
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EBITDA Margins: Improved to 56.2%, a 1.4% increase quarter-over-quarter (QoQ).
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EBITDAaL (EBITDA after lease obligations): ₹16,306 Crores with a margin of 49.3%.
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Operating Free Cash Flow: ₹9,440 Crores.
- Capex for the Quarter: ₹6,860 Crores.
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Fiber Deployment:
- Rolled out 5,214 network sites.
- Deployed 13,950 route kilometers of fiber.
- Cumulative fiber deployment exceeded 100,000 kilometers over the last 24 months.
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Customer Metrics:
- Mobile Segment:
- Added 4.9 million customers.
- Added 6.5 million smartphone customers.
- Postpaid Net Adds: 0.6 million, impacted by tariff repair.
- ARPU (Average Revenue Per User): Increased to ₹245 from ₹233 QoQ.
- Mobile Segment:
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Broadband Segment:
- Added 674,000 customers.
- Expanded Fixed Wireless Access (FWA) coverage to over 2,000 cities.
- Fiber Home Pass Additions: 1.9 million per quarter, totaling 35 million.
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DTH (Direct-To-Home): Added 29,000 customers in the quarter.
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Airtel Business:
- Revenue of ₹5,650 Crores, growing 8.7% year-over-year (YoY).
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Digital Businesses:
- Airtel Finance:
- Served over 1 million customers.
- Total disbursement of ₹4,600 Crores.
- Current Assets Under Management (AUM) of ₹2,500 Crores.
- Airtel Payments Bank:
- 87 million monthly transacting users.
- Annualized revenue run rate of ₹2,800 Crores, growing 50% YoY.
- Deposits at ₹3,300 Crores, growing 42% YoY.
- Airtel Finance:
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Financial Prudence:
- Net Debt / EBITDAaL Ratio: Improved to 1.8 from 2.5 a year ago.
- Prepayments: Paid off over ₹35,500 Crores in high-cost spectrum dues over the last six quarters.
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Geographical Revenue Breakdown:
- Africa: 23% of total revenues.
- India Mobile: 56% of total revenues.
- India Non-Mobile: 14% of total revenues.
- Indus Towers: 7% of total revenues.
2. Management Guidance and Outlook
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Capex Outlook:
- Forecast: Capex as a percentage of revenues is expected to trend downwards.
- FY2025: Capex anticipated to be lower than FY2024.
- FY2026: Continued reduction in capex as it unwinds.
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Strategic Initiatives:
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Tower Transfer to Indus Towers:
- 16,100 telecom towers to be transferred (₹12,700 from Bharti Airtel and ₹3,400 from Bharti Hexacom).
- Expected Benefits: Enhanced operational efficiency, freed management bandwidth, and long-term value creation for Indus Towers.
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Fiber and FWA Expansion:
- Ongoing rollout of fiber home passes and FWA coverage.
- Continued focus on underperforming regions with accelerated sales channel improvements.
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Postpaid Segment Expansion:
- Aim to convert up to 50 million additional subscribers to postpaid over the next few years.
- Focus on simplifying customer journeys and leveraging digital tools.
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B2B Segment Retrenchment:
- Exit from low-margin commodity voice and messaging business.
- Increased investment in high-margin digital adjacencies like Cloud, Security, IoT, and CPaaS.
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Financial Strategy:
- Deleveraging: Ongoing efforts to reduce net debt.
- Dividend Policy: Potential increase in dividend payouts.
- Selective Investments & M&A: Prudent and selective approach to investments and acquisitions, focusing on strategic growth areas.
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Digital Services Focus:
- Expansion of digital business segments including CPaaS, Financial Services, IoT, Cybersecurity, and Cloud.
- Strengthening partnerships, notably with Bajaj Finance, to enhance Airtel Finance offerings.
3. Key Analyst Concerns
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Capex Allocation and Reduction:
- Concern: Impact of reduced capex on growth initiatives.
- Management Response: Detailed focus on critical areas such as transport infrastructure, homes, and B2B, ensuring strategic investments despite overall capex reduction.
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Home Broadband Performance:
- Concern: Slower growth in home broadband compared to competitors like Jio.
- Management Response: Emphasized ongoing improvements, expansion of sales channels, and enhanced FWA rollout strategies to drive competitive growth.
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Free Cash Flow Utilization:
- Concern: Allocation of increasing free cash flow amidst debt repayment.
- Management Response: Plans to channel free cash flow towards deleveraging, increasing dividends, and selective, prudent investments rather than broad M&A activities.
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FWA and Fiber Rollout Impact:
- Concern: Balance between FWA and fiber rollout impacting backhaul capacity and overall network performance.
- Management Response: Assurance of strategic planning and readiness to deploy FWA or fiber based on regional demands and capacity requirements, ensuring network efficiency.
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Digital Revenue Growth:
- Concern: Lagging digital revenue growth compared to competitors like Jio.
- Management Response: Focused on scaling digital services, optimizing partnerships (e.g., with Bajaj Finance), and enhancing digital capabilities to drive growth in digital revenue streams.
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Exceptional Charges:
- Concern: One-time exceptional charge of ₹1.4 billion impacting financials.
- Management Response: Clarified it was due to periodic asset and liability reviews and recent legal judgments, framing it as a non-recurring item with no ongoing trend.
4. Management Tone Analysis
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Overall Tone: Confident and pragmatic with a focus on strategic growth and financial prudence.
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Confidence Indicators:
- Emphasized strong operational performance and strategic initiatives.
- Highlighted significant improvements in financial metrics like EBITDA margins and net debt ratios.
- Discussed readiness and strategic planning for future growth areas such as postpaid conversion and digital services.
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Caution:
- Acknowledged challenges in home broadband growth relative to competitors.
- Indicated controlled capex spending while still investing in critical growth areas.
- Addressed the need for continued efforts to enhance competitive performance in various segments.
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Forward-Looking Optimism:
- Optimistic about future growth opportunities in postpaid, broadband, and digital services.
- Positive outlook on financial stability through ongoing deleveraging and strategic investments.
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Consistency:
- Maintained a consistent message around financial discipline, strategic focus, and commitment to growth.
- Reinforced the importance of operational efficiency and strategic reallocations, such as the transfer of towers to Indus Towers.
Note: This analysis is based solely on the provided transcript of the Bharti Airtel Limited Q3 FY2025 Earnings Call held on February 7, 2025.